[Politech] Dailykos.com on Ohio provisional ballots and vote fraud

From: Declan McCullagh (declan@private)
Date: Mon Nov 08 2004 - 00:10:20 PST


There is one confirmed problem with electronic voting machines in Ohio. 
See page 23 near "Gahanna" -- 260 votes for Kerry, 4,258 for Bush. 
That's way out of line with other precincts:
http://www.franklincountyohio.gov/boe/04UnofficialResults/Unofficial%20Abstract%20of%20Votes%20General%202004.pdf

The Columbus Dispatch quoted election officials as saying it was an 
isolated glitch that would have been found in a routine review before 
the election was officially certified:
http://www.dispatch.com/election/election-president.php?story=dispatch/2004/11/05/20041105-A6-01.html

-Declan



-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Clear-headed review of computer voting fraud issues
Date: Fri, 05 Nov 2004 06:51:54 -0600
From: Jules Siegel <siegel@private>
To: Declan McCullagh <declan@private>

<http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/4/224812/643>

Ohio Provisional Ballots, Recounts, and Fraud

[Excerpts]

The possibility of fraud has been raised primarily because the results
from Ohio are not what people were expecting to see. Republican turnout
was very large, and Democrats seemed to vote for Bush in surprising
numbers. That is indeed curious, and needs to be analyzed.

Note, however, that it may be entirely explainable. It is entirely
probable that Republicans came out in record numbers; it is also not
outside the realm of logic that many Midwestern Democrats, swayed by the
We Hate Gays initiative on the Ohio ballot or by "values" or "terrorism"
or other factors, really did vote for Bush in surprising numbers. It is
possible. Keep in mind that rural Democrats and urban Democrats are, in
some ways, not exactly the same species -- we tend to forget that,
sometimes.

Again, to repeat: Unusual numbers in individual counties in Florida and
Ohio are potentially explainable by demographic and other factors; they
do not, in and of themselves, constitute "proof" of fraud.

But it is also possible to explain the discrepancies from fraud or
error. Intentional fraud, or unintentional error, would in this case
consist of misreporting of the numbers from each precinct. Note that few
of these Ohio precincts use anything other than the punch-card systems;
fraud would be present in the central machines that sum the votes, not
from in-precinct shenanigans. Nationwide, these machines are
manufactured by Diebold and other vendors; longtime readers will
remember Diebold as the heavily-Republican-leaning company (Diebold
executives are heavy Bush contributers) whose chief officer announced in
a Republican fund-raising letter that the company was "committed to
helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president next year."

Let's explain what these "central vote-counting" machines are.
Basically, it's a machine running Microsoft Windows with a Microsoft
Access database attached. (Note to the computer-savvy among you: Yes, I
sh*t you not. MS Access. Jeez.) The database keeps track of the votes in
each precinct, county, etc., much like an Excel spreadsheet. The
software is deemed secret and proprietary; previous lawsuits to examine
the code that tabulates the votes have been denied.

Sizable mistakes have been found before in Diebold-run elections. More
notably, the machines are easily hacked in such a way as to change the
vote totals in not-readily-detectable ways. There is a "second set of
books" built in to Diebold machines, which can be accessed remotely if
necessary.

Voting "solutions" by other companies have similar reported problems;
look at http://www.blackboxvoting.org for horror stories about known
miscounted election results in actual elections across the country.

So the question of whether the machines in Ohio are working properly is
hardly a "tinfoil-hat" concern. It is a legitimate question. Note,
however, that as of yet evidence of miscounts or tampering is
speculative; the only available evidence is statistical analysis of the
counties which points to "unusual" results in certain precincts and
counties.

Florida, perhaps, is the bigger question. Voting there is almost
entirely electronic now, through a combination of touchscreen and
optical-scan systems. And, to be quite honest, the vote totals there are
far more suspicious than in Ohio. While both states are exhibiting
results that are reasonable, they are also exhibiting, in some counties,
results that are highly unusual, though not outside the realms of
possibility, compared to past elections.

Bottom Line

So the question becomes, are the curious numbers in Ohio (and Florida)
due to the way the electorate voted, or due to the way those votes were
summed up in the central office? It is entirely possible that errors
might exist which do not affect the outcome of the election, but which
are still serious enough to require a serious review.

This is why I, for one believe it is our national interests to have a
manual recount of some of the Ohio counties with the most unusual
results. But this is not a Kerry issue; this is a democracy issue. Can
these machines be trusted? Recounts in selected counties would resolve
this: it needs to be done.

Bev Harris and other activists are filing Freedom of Information Act
requests and taking other steps to start analyzing the data. What we can
do is put weight behind their efforts, without looking like tinfoil-hat
loonies. We have to understand, the possibility that a miscount, even if
discovered, will be great enough to change the outcome of the election
is remote. These FOIA requests and other investigations are happening so
that these machines can be validated, not because any of the parties
have any actual evidence of willful fraud.

Update [2004-11-5 2:57:13 by Hunter]:

 From this diary <http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/4/132449/017>,
we find at least one county with a very egregious vote counting error.

Franklin County, OH: Gahanna 1-B Precinct
638 TOTAL BALLOTS CAST

US Senator:
Fingerhut (D) - 167 votes
Voinovich (R) - 300 votes

US President:
Kerry (D) - 260 votes
Bush (R) - 4,258 votes


-- 
JULES SIEGEL Apdo. 1764 77501-Cancun Q. Roo Mexico
http://www.cafecancun.com/portfolio

Newsroom-l, news and issues for journalists
http://www.newsroom-l.net/blog

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