Re: Maybe OT, but maybe not - worm rates and layoff rates

From: Jay D. Dyson (jdysonat_private)
Date: Sat Aug 18 2001 - 10:46:20 PDT

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    On Sat, 18 Aug 2001, Andrew R. Reiter wrote:
    
    > : While that may be a possibility, there's no way to guage its
    > : probability.  It's a bit like the slump that the music industry has
    > : experienced with the death of Napster.  Coincidence or causality?  No
    > : way to tell or guess.
    > 
    > I thought it was shown that during the "reign" of napster, that the rate
    > of CD sales was actually up? 
    
    	It was...but again, that's either a matter of coincidence or
    causality.  As it stands, there's no way to tell.  It's like trying to
    make a causal link between weather and mugging.  During the cold months,
    reported muggings are down.  During the warm months, reported muggings are
    up.  That doesn't mean the weather is responsible for armed robbery.  By
    the same token, two phenomena within the same time frame may or may not be
    causally linked at all.
    
    - -Jay
    
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