Re: CRv2 multiple scans from same source IP

From: Ryan Russell (ryanat_private)
Date: Mon Aug 06 2001 - 12:23:13 PDT

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    On Mon, 6 Aug 2001, corecode wrote:
    
    > it could generate the same ip address again in it's PRNG but the chance
    > this happening is near 0.
    
    You're saying that the chance it will try a duplicate IP again later is 0?
    Not quite 0...
    
    (1/(254*254))*3/8 + (1/(254*254*254))*4/8 =~ 0.00000584, or 0.000584%.
    Which means 1 out of about 171,144 generated numbers will be a dupe.  I
    don't know what the average scan rate of this thing is, but if we assume
    300 threads at 10 seconds each average to either deliver payload or time
    out,  that's 95 minutes between dupes average.
    
    My logs also bear out that dupes are common.
    
    					Ryan
    
    
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